Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.