Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.