Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 1, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
3 - 1
Pumas

Duenas (4'), Fernandez (41'), Medina (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Diogo (33')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-0 Juarez
Monday, September 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 2-1 Pumas
Saturday, September 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawPumas
45.3% (-0.374 -0.37)25.24% (-0.123 -0.12)29.46% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 54.56% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (0.778 0.78)48.77% (-0.778 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.702 0.7)70.87% (-0.702 -0.7)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.15599999999999 0.16)21.53% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.24 0.24)54.6% (-0.238 -0.24)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.758 0.76)30.46% (-0.757 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (0.893 0.89)66.67% (-0.893 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 45.3%
    Pumas 29.46%
    Draw 25.24%
JuarezDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 4am
Juarez
0-1
Pumas

Garcia (59')
Diogo (76')
Freire (40'), Corozo (48')
Oct 17, 2021 6pm
Pumas
1-0
Juarez
Corozo (90+5')
Mozo (2'), Velarde (84'), Saucedo (90+1')

Mora (85')
Mar 13, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-1
Pumas
Garcia (17')
Lopez (35'), Intriago (45'), Acosta (88')
Dinenno (55')
Lopez (8'), Mozo (49'), Alvarez (68'), Vigon (81'), Vasquez (84')
Aug 9, 2020 6pm
Pumas
1-1
Juarez
Gonzalez Espinola (54' pen.)
Iturbe (73'), Dinenno (90+3')
Olivera (66')
Castillo (7'), Nevarez (40')
Jan 17, 2020 3.15am
Juarez
4-4
Pumas
Lezcano (11', 17'), Rolan (26' pen.), Rubio (78')
Rodriguez (56'), Rolan (76')
Vigon (15'), Vargas (39'), Alvarez (49'), Gonzalez Espinola (59')
Mayorga (25'), Vasquez (30'), Mozo (68')