Liga MX
-
Carlos Gonzalez
4'
-
Camilo Sanvezzo
6'
-
Camilo Sanvezzo
73'
-
Tiago Volpi
90'+2'
-
Fernando Gorriaran
30'
-
Harold Preciado
38'
-
Eduardo Aguirre
49'
Toluca vs Santos Laguna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result
Toluca
44.19%
▲
(+0.41)
Draw
23.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Santos Laguna
32.54%
▼
(-0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
63.07%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.69%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
38.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
39.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
60.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5
82.25%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
17.75%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
51.56%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
48.43%
▼
(-0.26)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5
76.68%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
23.31%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
42.73%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
57.26%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
Toluca
44.19%
Draw
23.26%
Santos Laguna
32.54%
Toluca
2-1
@
9.01%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.19%
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
2-2 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
Santos Laguna
1-2
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.54%
0-1 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.54%
Head to Head
Liga MX
Gameweek
4
-
Leonardo Fernandez
11'
-
Jordan Sierra
25'
-
Marcel Ruiz
45'
-
Brayan Angulo
86'
-
Hugo Rodriguez
31'
-
Hugo Rodriguez
75'
-
Doria
88'
-
90'+7'
Liga MX
Gameweek
2
-
Jorge Rodriguez
21'
-
Haret Ortega
37'
-
Daniel Alvarez
41'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
56'
-
Luis Garcia
76'
-
Leonardo Fernandez
79'
-
Diego Rigonato Rodrigues
80'
-
Ayrton Preciado
22'
-
Doria
84'
Liga MX
Gameweek
15
-
Alessio Da Cruz
33'
-
Alessio Da Cruz
44'
-
Ayrton Preciado
49'
-
Eduardo Aguirre
90'+6'
-
Gustavo Guadalupe Gutierrez Munoz
26'
-
Gustavo Gutierrez
26'
-
Diego Rigonato Rodrigues
34'
-
Oscar Vanegas
47'
-
Diego Chavez
56'
-
Alexis Canelo
76'
-
Brandon Sartiaguin
90'+4'
Liga MX
Gameweek
14
-
Eduardo Aguirre
3'
-
Eduardo Aguirre
4'
-
Eduardo Aguirre
16'
-
Eduardo Aguirre
17'
-
Jesus Isijara
29'
-
Jesus Isijara
30'
-
Ferney Otero
53'
-
Paolo Yrizar
45'+1'
-
Miguel Barbieri
45'+3'
-
Alexis Canelo
68'
-
Enrique Triverio
80'
-
Diego Rigonato Rodrigues
86'
-
Diego Rigonato Rodrigues
87'
-
Claudio Baeza
90'+3'
Liga MX
Gameweek
11
-
Adrian Mora
45'
-
Rubens Sambueza
68'
-
Brandon Sartiaguin
88'
-
Michael Estrada
90'+1'
-
Gael Sandoval
40'
-
Octavio Rivero
52'
Liga MX
Gameweek
17