Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 31, 2022 at 1.36am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
3 - 1
Toluca

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (45+3'), Ibanez (51'), Cabral (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopez (21')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Winner Semi-final 2

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Winner Semi-final 1

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawToluca
65.71% (0.13500000000001 0.14)20% (0.077999999999999 0.08)14.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (-0.797 -0.8)44.51% (0.797 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (-0.776 -0.78)66.88% (0.776 0.78)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (-0.202 -0.2)12.71% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.07% (-0.418 -0.42)38.92% (0.417 0.42)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (-0.799 -0.8)43.14% (0.799 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (-0.677 -0.68)79.4% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 65.7%
    Toluca 14.29%
    Draw 20%
PachucaDrawToluca
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.22 0.22)
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.02% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.14% (0.015999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.7%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20%
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.29%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Winner Semi-final 2
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!