Liga MX
Oct 31, 2022 1.36am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 45'+3' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 51' goal
  • Gustavo Cabral 75' goal
  • goal Raul Lopez 21'

Pachuca vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2022 2.06am
Toluca 1 - 5 Pachuca

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2022 2.06am
Toluca 1 - 5 Pachuca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result

Pachuca 65.71% (+0.14)
Draw 20% (+0.08)
Toluca 14.29% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.49% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 44.51% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 33.12% (-0.78)
Under 3.5 66.88% (+0.78)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 87.29% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 12.71% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 61.07% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 38.92% (+0.42)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 56.86% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 43.14% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 20.59% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 79.4% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Pachuca 65.7%
Draw 20%
Toluca 14.29%
Pachuca
2-0 @ 11.66% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 11.3% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.02% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.14% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 65.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20%
Toluca
0-1 @ 4.61% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.29%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Oct 28, 2022 2.06am
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT
  • Jordan Sierra 78' goal
  • goal Romario Ibarra 8'
  • goal Gustavo Cabral 13'
  • goal Romario Ibarra 36'
  • goal Mauricio Isais 41'
  • goal Nicolas Ibanez 53'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Aug 28, 2022 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Brayan Angulo 21' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 29' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 63' goal
  • Jean Meneses 74' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Saucedo 74' yellowcard
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Saucedo 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Illian Hernandez 15'
  • goal Illian Hernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Illian Hernandez 24'
  • yellowcard Oscar Murillo 59'
  • yellowcard Paulino de la Fuente 66'
  • yellowcard Luis Chavez 67'
  • goal Paulino de la Fuente 73'
  • goal Nicolas Ibanez 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 13, 2022 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kevin Castaneda 75' yellowcard
  • goal Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 12'
  • goal Nicolas Ibanez 70'
  • goal Yairo Moreno 85'
Liga MX Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2021 3.00am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Alvarez 14' goal
  • Miguel Angel Herrera 37' yellowcard
  • Erick Sanchez 64' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 45'+2'
  • goal Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 14, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miguel Barbieri 44' yellowcard
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 56' yellowcard
  • Miguel Barbieri 72' redcard
  • Jorge Torres 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Garcia 8'
  • yellowcard Felipe Pardo 23'
  • goal Roberto de la Rosa 83'
  • goal Luis Chavez 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Sep 25, 2020 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Medina 6'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaneda 81'