Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Tigres
46.04% ( 2.74)	26.9% ( -0.8)	27.06% ( -1.94)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.4% (

1.94)

56.6% (

-1.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

1.54)

77.57% (

-1.54)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

2.26)

24.55% (

-2.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98% (

3.07)

59.02% (

-3.07)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

-0.5)

36.43% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78% (

-0.51)

73.22% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 46.04%

Tigres 27.06%

Draw 26.9%

Pachuca	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.04%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.06%