Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.