Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 21, 2022 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
5 - 2
Monterrey

Ibanez (9', 86' pen., 87' pen., 90+2'), Ibarra (23'), de la Fuente (47', 48')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Moreno (16'), Romo (42')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Tigres
Monday, October 17 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, October 16 at 12.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawMonterrey
40.15% (-1.046 -1.05)28.27% (0.247 0.25)31.58% (0.798 0.8)
Both teams to score 46.35% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (-0.666 -0.67)59.73% (0.664 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (-0.512 -0.51)80.03% (0.511 0.51)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)29.1% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.138 -1.14)65.02% (1.138 1.14)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.22799999999999 0.23)34.62% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (0.244 0.24)71.34% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 40.15%
    Monterrey 31.57%
    Draw 28.26%
PachucaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 40.15%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 7% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 11.05pm
Monterrey
0-0
Pachuca

Kranevitter (41')
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
Pachuca
3-0
Monterrey
Chavez (17', 75'), De la Rosa (71')
Alvarez (45+4'), Ibarra (53')

Campbell (70'), Meza (90+3')
Aug 15, 2021 3.06am
Monterrey
3-1
Pachuca
Funes Mori (36' pen., 80'), Meza (74')
Janssen (90+4')
Moreno (52')
Apr 19, 2021 3.06am
Monterrey
0-1
Pachuca

Funes Mori (31'), Gallardo (35'), Vegas (74'), Hurtado (90+9')
Gallardo (45+3')
Aguirre (49')
Alvarez (41'), Aguirre (45+5'), Agustin Moreno (90+3')
Alfredo Ustari (87')
Sep 15, 2020 3am
Pachuca
1-1
Monterrey
Sosa (85')
Chavez (59'), Pardo (90')
Salinas (70')
Vegas (8')
Cantu (90+4')
Loba (45+1')