Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 16, 2022 at 12.06am UK
Tecnologico

Monterrey
3 - 0
Cruz Azul

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-0 Monterrey
Thursday, October 13 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TBC win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Monterrey had a probability of 12.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a TBC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Monterrey win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TBC would win this match.

Result
TBCDrawMonterrey
66.08% (0.148 0.15)21.22% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)12.7% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 41.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.124 0.12)52.81% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.105 0.11)74.43% (-0.108 -0.11)
TBC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.085999999999999 0.09)15.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (0.16699999999999 0.17)43.87% (-0.17 -0.17)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.28% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)50.71% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.85% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)85.15% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    TBC 66.07%
    Monterrey 12.7%
    Draw 21.22%
TBCDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 14.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 8.58% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 66.07%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 12.7%