Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.