Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 23, 2022 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
1 - 1
Toluca

Zendejas (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Torres (29')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 America
Thursday, October 20 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 America
Thursday, October 20 at 3.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
72.63% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)16.5% (0.026 0.03)10.86% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)36.89% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.92% (-0.064 -0.06)59.07% (0.064 0.06)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.16% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)8.84% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.71% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.29% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Club America 72.63%
    Toluca 10.86%
    Draw 16.5%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 72.63%
1-1 @ 7.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 16.5%
1-2 @ 3.21% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 10.86%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 3.06am
Toluca
2-1
America
Ortega (23'), Fernandez (42' pen.)
Lara (79')
Sanchez (23')
Jul 14, 2022 3am
America
1-0
Toluca
Sanchez (90+3')
Sanchez (36')

Sanvezzo (90')
Baeza (31')
Mar 20, 2022 11pm
America
3-0
Toluca
Martinez (7'), Valdes (15'), Zendejas (18')

Huerta (12'), Baeza (14'), Fernandez (67')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Toluca
3-1
America
Ortega (2', 61'), Samudio (39')
Baeza (22'), Rigonato Rodrigues (49'), Gonzalez (81'), Sambueza (90')
Baeza (56')
Martin (6')
Vinas (11'), Valdez (45+2'), Layun (65'), Caceres (80'), Madrigal (83'), Ochoa (84')
Caceres (84')
Apr 25, 2021 11.30pm
Toluca
3-1
America
Estrada (8'), Lopez (11'), Canelo (73')
Lopez (18'), Torres (45+2')
Aguilera (49' pen.)
Valdez (34'), Sanchez (86')