Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 16, 2022 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
5 - 1
Puebla

Rodriguez (21'), Martin (27'), Martinez (50'), Fidalgo (61'), Layun (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Araujo (35')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

TBC

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-6 America
Thursday, October 13 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawPuebla
60.52% (0.807 0.81)22.03% (-0.251 -0.25)17.45% (-0.555 -0.56)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.182 0.18)47.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.168 0.17)69.58% (-0.167 -0.17)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (0.328 0.33)15.2% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (0.611 0.61)43.84% (-0.609 -0.61)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.551 -0.55)40.71% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.501 -0.5)77.3% (0.502 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Club America 60.52%
    Puebla 17.45%
    Draw 22.02%
Club AmericaDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.98% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.9% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 60.52%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.45%

rhs 2.0


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