Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 13, 2022 at 1.06am UK
Estadio Azteca

Puebla
1 - 6
America

Cortizo (14')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Valdes (31'), Martin (33', 57'), Zendejas (65'), Rodriguez (78'), Vinas (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Guadalajara (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, October 9 at 10.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, October 1 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawClub America
26.15%24.74%49.11%
Both teams to score 53.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27%48.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16%70.84%
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.53%
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01%51.99%
Score Analysis
    Puebla 26.15%
    Club America 49.11%
    Draw 24.73%
PueblaDrawClub America
1-0 @ 7.27%
2-1 @ 6.52%
2-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.15%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 10.58%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.6%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 49.11%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 1am
Puebla
1-2
America
Reyes (90+3')
Reyes (20')
Martinez (13'), Fidalgo (90')
May 15, 2022 12am
America
3-2
Puebla
Martin (42'), Valdes (58' pen.), Zendejas (73')
Zendejas (33')
Reyes (45+2'), Aristeguieta (90+7' pen.)
Araujo (29'), Segovia (34'), Silva (56'), Salas (88')
May 12, 2022 3.05am
Puebla
1-1
America
Aristeguieta (55')
Salas (21'), Parra (32'), Reyes (53'), Gularte (70'), Aguilar (72'), Silva (77'), de Buen (90+1')
Caceres (81')
Caceres (36'), Valdez (59')
Jan 8, 2022 3am
Puebla
1-1
America
Araujo (45')
Reyes (23'), de Buen (70'), Ferrareis (75'), Cortizo (90+2')
Reyes Chavez (2')
Sanchez (12'), Martinez (33'), Fidalgo (90+2')
Solari (32'), Martinez (36')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
America
2-0
Puebla
Martinez (43' pen.), Reyes Chavez (54')
Layun (64'), Aquino (76')

Salas (64'), Escoto (71')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!