Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Club Leon

Toluca
0 - 0
Club Leon

FT
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Toluca
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Club Leon
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawClub Leon
44.37% (-0.788 -0.79)24.65% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)30.97% (0.851 0.85)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.681 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52% (0.687 0.69)45.48% (-0.686 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (0.653 0.65)67.81% (-0.652 -0.65)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)20.58% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.101 -0.1)53.12% (0.102 0.1)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.914 0.91)27.77% (-0.912 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (1.154 1.15)63.35% (-1.153 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 44.37%
    Club Leon 30.97%
    Draw 24.65%
TolucaDrawClub Leon
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.104 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.146 0.15)
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 2% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.97%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2022 3.05am
Club Leon
0-1
Toluca

Ambriz (17'), Montes (27'), Di Yorio (36'), Barreiro (85'), Bellon (90+4'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Ambriz (53')
Alvarez (90')
Navarro (26'), Sierra (27')
May 2, 2022 2.06am
Club Leon
4-4
Toluca
Davila (18'), Mena (23'), Meneses (37'), Barreiro (90+3')
Gonzalez (14'), Fernandez (26'), Rodriguez (33' og.), Canelo (58')
Huerta (32'), Garcia (85')
Oct 31, 2021 6pm
Toluca
0-0
Club Leon

Vanegas (2')

Tesillo (27'), Gigliotti (87')
May 10, 2021 1am
Club Leon
2-2
Toluca
 Toluca win 4-2 on penalties
Davila (45+1'), Ambriz (89')
Castaneda (18'), Canelo (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3.05am
Club Leon
2-1
Toluca
Barreiro (52'), Mena (73')
Colombatto (27'), David Ramirez (65')
Estrada (45+3')
Sambueza (29'), Torres (51'), Barbieri (70')
rhs 2.0


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