Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 13, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
2 - 1
Mazatlan

Furch (61'), Quinones (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benedetti (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 2 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Mazatlan
Monday, October 3 at 12.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

Result
AtlasDrawMazatlan
51.05% (0.485 0.48)27.06% (-0.168 -0.17)21.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
Both teams to score 42.89% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.26% (0.288 0.29)60.74% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.21% (0.218 0.22)80.79% (-0.214 -0.21)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.34999999999999 0.35)24.02% (-0.345 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.495 0.5)58.28% (-0.49 -0.49)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.45% (-0.156 -0.16)43.55% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.25% (-0.13 -0.13)79.76% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 51.04%
    Mazatlan 21.89%
    Draw 27.06%
AtlasDrawMazatlan
1-0 @ 14.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.89%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 3am
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Benedetti (32')

Zaldivar (40')
Apr 15, 2022 3am
Atlas
1-2
Mazatlan
Furch (49' pen.)
Santamaria (4'), Aguirre (17'), Torres (71'), Trejo (87')
Furch (81')
Sosa (31', 43')
Colula (45'), Sosa (50'), Fabian (78')
Oct 16, 2021 3am
Mazatlan
1-0
Atlas
Sanvezzo (7' pen.)
Antonio Padilla (54'), Rubio (58'), Freitas (80')

Reyes (5'), Nervo (35'), Chala (43')
Reyes (17')
Apr 17, 2021 3.30am
Mazatlan
0-0
Atlas

Vargas (14'), Meraz (71')

Barbosa (14'), Ibarra (32')
Sep 12, 2020 11pm
Atlas
1-1
Mazatlan
Ibarra (53')
Angulo (37'), Correa (45+1'), Reyes (57')
Sansores (51')
Jara (34')