Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 1
Tijuana

Oliveros (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Segovia (1' og.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
Monday, January 30 at 1am in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 0-0 Pumas
Saturday, January 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
45.54% (0.381 0.38)26.43% (-0.249 -0.25)28.03% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.98% (0.643 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.874 0.87)54.32% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (0.725 0.73)75.7% (-0.724 -0.72)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (0.568 0.57)23.78% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06% (0.806 0.81)57.94% (-0.806 -0.81)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (0.358 0.36)34.43% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (0.382 0.38)71.14% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 45.53%
    Club Tijuana 28.03%
    Draw 26.42%
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.03%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2022 3.05am
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Lertora (45+5')
Montecinos (43')
Garcia (34')
Feb 19, 2022 3.06am
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Ferreyra (57')
Rivera (63'), Lorona (90')
Garcia Banuelos (69')
Dominguez (86'), Lopez (90+7')
Sep 28, 2021 11pm
Necaxa
3-0
Tijuana
Garcia Banuelos (52'), Salas (56'), Medina (79')
Formiliano (34')

Sansores (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+3')
Apr 24, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
1-0
Necaxa
Martinez (59')
Pavez (77'), Lorona (90+3')
Oct 17, 2020 1.30am
Necaxa
2-0
Tijuana
Gonzalez (4'), Arce (81')
Dominguez (45+1'), Salas (90+4')

Lorona (66'), Gomez (80'), Cortizo (83')