Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Sep 19, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
1 - 1
Necaxa

Lertora (45+6', 45+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Garcia (33', 34')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 6-1 Tijuana
Monday, September 12 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 America
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawNecaxa
36.69% (0.1 0.1)26.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04)36.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.163 -0.16)52.2% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.142 -0.14)73.91% (0.143 0.14)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)27.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)62.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.158 -0.16)27.4% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-0.205 -0.2)62.88% (0.207 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 36.69%
    Necaxa 36.83%
    Draw 26.47%
Club TijuanaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.69%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.83%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.06am
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Ferreyra (57')
Rivera (63'), Lorona (90')
Garcia Banuelos (69')
Dominguez (86'), Lopez (90+7')
Sep 28, 2021 11pm
Necaxa
3-0
Tijuana
Garcia Banuelos (52'), Salas (56'), Medina (79')
Formiliano (34')

Sansores (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+3')
Apr 24, 2021 3.06am
Oct 17, 2020 1.30am
Necaxa
2-0
Tijuana
Gonzalez (4'), Arce (81')
Dominguez (45+1'), Salas (90+4')

Lorona (66'), Gomez (80'), Cortizo (83')
Apr 6, 2020 3.06am