Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.