Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 0
Cruz Azul

Mendez (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Necaxa
Tuesday, January 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Next Game: Pachuca vs. Necaxa
Monday, January 30 at 1am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-3 Monterrey
Saturday, January 14 at 11pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Cruz Azul vs. Tigres
Sunday, February 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawCruz Azul
35.76% (0.66699999999999 0.67)27.13% (-0.256 -0.26)37.1% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.843 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (1.038 1.04)54.91% (-1.046 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (0.849 0.85)76.2% (-0.858 -0.86)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.929 0.93)29.35% (-0.937 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (1.127 1.13)65.33% (-1.134 -1.13)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.251 0.25)28.54% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.317 0.32)64.33% (-0.324 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 35.76%
    Cruz Azul 37.09%
    Draw 27.13%
NecaxaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.09%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 11pm
Cruz Azul
1-0
Necaxa
Morales (38')
Martinez (56'), Romero (84'), Jurado (90+7')

Garnica (40'), Oliveros (43'), Araos (54'), Pena (67')
May 7, 2022 11.45pm
Cruz Azul
1-1
Necaxa
 Cruz Azul win 3-1 on penalties
Escobar (56')
Aguirre (89')
Feb 13, 2022 1am
Cruz Azul
1-2
Necaxa
Escobar (34' pen.)
Dominguez (73')
Gimenez (84'), Aguirre (90+5')
Dominguez (31'), Formiliano (48'), Aguirre (90+6'), Araos (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3.05am
Necaxa
1-2
Cruz Azul
Zendejas (28' pen.)
Formiliano (20' og.), Gimenez (70')
Aguilar (43'), Gudino (82'), Martinez (87')
Feb 6, 2021 3.30am
Necaxa
0-2
Cruz Azul

Gonzalez (78')
Romo (3'), Escobar (26')
Aguilar (85')