Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.