Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 16, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 1
Pumas

Mendez (2', 6'), Oliveros (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Freire (40')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: America 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 11 at 11pm in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Pumas
Sunday, February 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawPumas
40.66% (-1.084 -1.08)26.33% (-0.159 -0.16)33.01% (1.244 1.24)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.909 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.98099999999999 0.98)52.02% (-0.98 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (0.841 0.84)73.75% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.12 -0.12)25.2% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.166 -0.17)59.94% (0.167 0.17)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (1.326 1.33)29.67% (-1.326 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (1.58 1.58)65.72% (-1.58 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 40.65%
    Pumas 33.01%
    Draw 26.33%
NecaxaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.231 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.186 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.132 0.13)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.01%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 6pm
Pumas
1-0
Necaxa
Aldrete (18')
Meritao (42')

Gimenez (45+2'), Villalpando (52'), Cardona (84')
Mar 19, 2022 11pm
Pumas
1-3
Necaxa
Diogo (69')
Meritao (72')
Medina (20'), Aguirre (28' pen., 61')
Villalpando (31'), Gonzalez (33'), Garcia (37'), Dominguez (55')
Aug 18, 2021 3am
Necaxa
3-0
Pumas
Escoboza (36'), Zendejas (72' pen.), Aguirre (90+3')

Mozo (89'), Velarde (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 1.30am
Necaxa
0-1
Pumas

Dominguez (21'), Delgado (69')
Vigon (82')
Dinenno (13'), Freire (30')
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Pumas
1-1
Necaxa
Dinenno (75')
Mozo (58'), Freire (70')
Alvarez (14')
Cabrera (16')
Arce (9'), Martin Sandoval Zavala (60'), Pereira (80'), Bilbao (84')