Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 17, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
2 - 3
Pachuca

Montano (50'), Fabian (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alvarez (34', 52'), Sanchez (71')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 3-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, February 11 at 1am in Liga MX

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 12 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawPachuca
26.26% (0.748 0.75)24.64% (0.827 0.83)49.1% (-1.572 -1.57)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-2.003 -2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-2.971 -2.97)48.23% (2.972 2.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-2.782 -2.78)70.38% (2.783 2.78)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (-0.985 -0.98)32.6% (0.987 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87% (-1.119 -1.12)69.13% (1.12 1.12)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (-1.77 -1.77)19.68% (1.772 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (-2.962 -2.96)51.67% (2.964 2.96)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 26.26%
    Pachuca 49.1%
    Draw 24.63%
MazatlanDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.671 0.67)
2-1 @ 6.55% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.03% (0.276 0.28)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 26.26%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.754 0.75)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.685 0.69)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.38 -0.38)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.298 -0.3)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 49.1%

Head to Head
Jul 19, 2022 1am
Pachuca
1-1
Mazatlan
Ibanez (90+3')
Sanchez (28'), Hurtado (34')
Benedetti (46')
Orona (13'), Colula (26'), Sanchez (79')
Feb 25, 2022 1am
Pachuca
3-1
Mazatlan
Chavez (27'), Ibanez (45'), Hurtado (71')
Ibanez (57'), Trindade (86')
Moreno (45+3')
Benedetti (30'), Intriago (60'), Diaz (63'), Vidrio (90+2')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
Mazatlan
2-1
Pachuca
Sanvezzo (45+2', 83')
Diaz (57')
Ibanez (20')
Hurtado (17')
Jan 30, 2021 3.30am
Mazatlan
1-0
Pachuca
Aristeguieta (44')
Jimenez (50'), Diaz (80'), Marin (90')

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (66'), Nurse (86'), Quiroga (89')
Aug 25, 2020 3.05am
Pachuca
4-3
Mazatlan
Davila (16'), Murillo (21'), Pardo (67'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (90+2' pen.)
Salinas (33'), Cabral (69'), Sanchez (73')
Aristeguieta (37'), Diaz (48'), Huerta (87')
Velarde (6'), Diaz (23'), Antonio Padilla (62')