Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 10, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
5 - 1
Puebla

Chavez (5'), Ibanez (9', 71'), Lopez (62'), Alvarez (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barragan (45' pen.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Toluca
Monday, October 31 at 1.36am in Liga MX
Next Game: Tigres vs. Pachuca
Monday, January 16 at 1am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Puebla
Tuesday, January 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: Puebla vs. Queretaro
Saturday, January 14 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawPuebla
63.62% (1.597 1.6)20.45% (-0.228 -0.23)15.92% (-1.374 -1.37)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-2.266 -2.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.76% (-1.508 -1.51)43.23% (1.504 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.36% (-1.506 -1.51)65.63% (1.501 1.5)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)39.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (-2.6 -2.6)40.13% (2.596 2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (-2.459 -2.46)76.77% (2.455 2.46)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 63.62%
    Puebla 15.92%
    Draw 20.45%
PachucaDrawPuebla
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.7 0.7)
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.687 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.41% (0.478 0.48)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.245 0.25)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 63.62%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.336 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.45%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.92%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 1am
Puebla
2-2
Pachuca
Cortizo (17'), Barragan (52')
Ibanez (78'), Tapias (90')
Sanchez (20')
Apr 20, 2022 1am
Pachuca
1-0
Puebla
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (11')
Cabral (49')
Murillo (53')

Larcamon (21'), Salas (90+1'), Reyes (90+4')
Oct 2, 2021 1am
Puebla
1-2
Pachuca
De Buen (23' pen.)
Gularte (20'), Escoto (36'), Alvarez (79'), Silva (90+9'), Silva (90+9')
Chavez (37' pen.), Sanchez (58')
Hurtado (20'), Sanchez (55'), Angel Herrera (66'), Ustari (90')
Catalan (74')
Apr 13, 2021 3am
Pachuca
1-3
Puebla
Sanchez (48')
Alvarez (28'), Antonio Figueroa Diaz (88')
Araujo (2'), Perg (66'), Reyes Chavez (90+6')
Tabo (71'), Aguilar (81')
Aug 15, 2020 3.30am
Puebla
0-1
Pachuca
Sosa (61' pen.)