Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 14, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
2 - 0
Queretaro

Mancuello (23'), Martinez (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 5-1 Puebla
Tuesday, January 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: America 0-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 7 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawQueretaro
45.37% (0.048000000000002 0.05)26.27% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)28.36% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (0.075999999999993 0.08)53.53% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (0.063000000000002 0.06)75.04% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.054999999999993 0.05)23.53% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (0.077999999999996 0.08)57.57% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (0.024000000000001 0.02)33.75% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59% (0.025000000000002 0.03)70.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 45.36%
    Queretaro 28.36%
    Draw 26.27%
PueblaDrawQueretaro
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.36%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 3.05am
Queretaro
1-1
Puebla
Nahuelpan (22')
Rojas (18')
Altidore (75')
Feb 6, 2022 10pm
Queretaro
0-2
Puebla

Perg (31'), Montero (61'), Hernandez (73'), Torres (90+3')
Maia (2'), Segovia (32')
Gularte (7'), Segovia (37'), Ferrareis (47'), Aristeguieta (71'), de Buen (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3am
Puebla
1-0
Queretaro
Alvarez (56')
Reyes (34')

Olivera (9'), Mendoza (38'), Escamilla (58')
Doldan (90+4')
Feb 21, 2021 11pm
Queretaro
1-1
Puebla
Gallardo (84')
Montes (75')
Alvarez (90+2' pen.)
Maia (42'), Perg (71')
Sep 26, 2020 1.30am
Puebla
3-3
Queretaro
Martinez (27'), Angulo (68'), Tabo (90+1')
Sepulveda (28'), Sosa (45+1'), Islas (46')
Ramirez (52'), Madrigal (55')