Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 4, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
2 - 3
Juarez

Loba (45+3'), Illescas Marinelarena (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Arturo Garcia Bojorquez (14'), Garcia (14'), Molina (69', 69'), Lainez (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: America 6-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, January 29 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawJuarez
39.39% (0.925 0.92)27.41% (-0.113 -0.11)33.2% (-0.819 -0.82)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (0.294 0.29)56.26% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (0.238 0.24)77.3% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.672 0.67)27.87% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.851 0.85)63.47% (-0.856 -0.86)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.398 -0.4)31.68% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (-0.457 -0.46)68.1% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 39.39%
    Juarez 33.19%
    Draw 27.4%
MazatlanDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.187 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.19%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 3.05am
Juarez
1-1
Mazatlan
Fernandez (48')
Garcia (78'), Fernandez (85'), Velazquez (90')
Silvera (14')
Sanchez (11')
Vidrio (74'), Intriago (87'), Colman (90+1')
Apr 23, 2022 3am
Juarez
0-2
Mazatlan

Esquivel (40')
Rubio (21', 46')
Fabian (15'), Alanis (82'), Rubio (85')
Sep 29, 2021 1am
Mazatlan
3-1
Juarez
Garcia (8' og.), Sanvezzo (36'), Colula (69')
Amador (23'), Antonio Padilla (24'), Zavala (82'), Freitas (84')
Raul (77')
Olivera (29'), Castillo (63')
Feb 20, 2021 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Mazatlan
Lezcano (53')
Iniestra (70')

Vidrio (68')
Oct 17, 2020 3.30am
Mazatlan
3-2
Juarez
Sanvezzo (5', 34'), Rocha (9' pen.)
Osuna (42'), Rocha (81'), Angel Fraga Licona (85')
Rubio (40'), Lezcano (80')
Esquivel (17'), Hernandez (32'), Olivera (61')
rhs 2.0


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