Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
6 - 0
Mazatlan

Rodriguez (30'), Valdes (32'), Martin (34', 59', 90+3'), Sanchez (40')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, January 21 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawMazatlan
72.9% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)17.3% (0.281 0.28)9.81% (0.1301 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.32% (-0.445 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.876 -0.88)43.91% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.86 -0.86)66.3% (0.866 0.87)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (-0.334 -0.33)10.59% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.63% (-0.76100000000001 -0.76)34.37% (0.765 0.77)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.57% (-0.309 -0.31)50.43% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.05% (-0.212 -0.21)84.95% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Club America 72.89%
    Mazatlan 9.81%
    Draw 17.3%
Club AmericaDrawMazatlan
2-0 @ 13.46% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 10.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.65% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 72.89%
1-1 @ 8.21% (0.124 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 17.3%
0-1 @ 3.66% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.25% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.81%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3.05am
Mazatlan
1-3
America
Valdes (11' og.)
Vargas (34'), Fabian (37'), Intriago (44')
Vargas (58')
Valdes (39'), Martin (45'), Caceres (49')
Caceres (15'), Zendejas (68')
Feb 17, 2022 1am
Mazatlan
2-1
America
Sosa (11'), Sansores (33')
Meraz (18'), Sansores (43'), Nogueira (90+9'), Antonio Padilla (90+9')
Antonio Padilla (90+12')
Otero (90+3')
Vinas (90+9'), Martinez (90+9')
Sep 12, 2021 3am
America
2-0
Mazatlan
Fidalgo (29'), Madrigal (72')
Fuentes (39')

Colula (12'), Diaz (45+2'), Vikonis (67')
Mar 20, 2021 3am
Mazatlan
0-1
America

Jimenez (40'), Vargas (49')
Ortiz (71' og.)
Sep 3, 2020 2am
America
3-1
Mazatlan
Martin (47'), Rocha (54' og.), Sanchez (57')
Benedetti (58')
Sanvezzo (72')
Ortiz (32'), Rocha (43')
rhs 2.0


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