Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.10am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 0
Juarez

Guzman (22'), Medina (61'), Funes Mori (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 1-1 Monterrey
Tuesday, February 28 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 9.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.08%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawJuarez
71.48% (-0.474 -0.47)19.03% (0.291 0.29)9.49% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 37.94% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (-0.633 -0.63)52% (0.631 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (-0.551 -0.55)73.74% (0.548 0.55)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (-0.331 -0.33)13.29% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (-0.66999999999999 -0.67)40.11% (0.667 0.67)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.39% (-0.004999999999999 -0)88.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 71.47%
    Juarez 9.49%
    Draw 19.03%
MonterreyDrawJuarez
2-0 @ 15.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 15.08% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 10.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.17% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 71.47%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.03%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 2.5% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 9.49%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 3.05am
Juarez
0-1
Monterrey
Gallardo (76')
Montes (18')
Mar 16, 2022 3.06am
Monterrey
3-0
Juarez
Pizarro (48'), Campbell (64'), Alvarado (90+3')
Meza (5'), Moreno (45+3')

Mora (23'), Garcia (57')
Arce (40')
Oct 2, 2021 3am
Juarez
3-1
Monterrey
Rolan (41'), Intriago (43'), Olivera (87')
Garcia (53'), Gomez (82')
Meza (39')
Funes Mori (24'), Rodriguez (45+3'), Meza (45+3'), Vegas (58')
Mar 4, 2021 1am
Juarez
1-6
Monterrey
Lezcano (34')
Lopez (45'), Intriago (55'), Velazquez (58'), Garcia (68')
Janssen (14', 50'), Gonzalez (19'), Funes Mori (47', 72'), Alvarado (84')
Vegas (26'), Meza (41')
Aug 31, 2020 3.06am
Monterrey
2-1
Juarez
Loba (50', 59')
Vegas (79')
Lezcano (27')
Velazquez (22')