Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.