Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 5, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Azteca
Tigres

Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Tigres

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pizarro (41')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Tigres

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, January 29 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawTigres
30.65% (0.704 0.7)27% (0.128 0.13)42.35% (-0.833 -0.83)
Both teams to score 49.69% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64% (-0.23 -0.23)55.35% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.44% (-0.192 -0.19)76.56% (0.191 0.19)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (0.39700000000001 0.4)32.99% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.434 0.43)69.57% (-0.435 -0.44)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)25.84% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-0.727 -0.73)60.81% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 30.65%
    Tigres 42.34%
    Draw 26.99%
Cruz AzulDrawTigres
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.185 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.65%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 11.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.34%

Head to Head
Jul 3, 2022 1.05am
Tigres
2-3
Cruz Azul
Thauvin (48'), Cordova (75')
Quinones (90+2')
Baca (16'), Romero (63'), Gimenez (90+3' pen.)
May 16, 2022 2.05am
Tigres
0-1
Cruz Azul

Quinones (28'), Carioca (45+7'), Gignac (59')
Aquino (45+4')
Tabo (19')
Tabo (52'), Morales (62'), Escobar (74'), Gimenez (81'), Lira (86'), Uriel (90+5')
Reynoso (45+2')
May 13, 2022 1am
Cruz Azul
0-1
Tigres

Morales (6'), Romero (47'), Tabo (64'), Escobar (82'), Uriel (90')
Duenas (44')
Quinones (47'), Ayala (90+6')
Lopez (60')
Mar 3, 2022 1am
Tigres
2-2
Cruz Azul
Gignac (11'), Vigon (30')
Reyes (4'), Quinones (49'), Rodriguez (63'), Gignac (90')
Abram (45+3'), Rivero (90+3')
Uriel (59'), Escobar (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
1-1
Tigres
Ayala (15' og.)
Rivero (16'), Fernandez (39')
Gignac (17')
Aquino (13')