-
Maximiliano Araujo
32'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
54'
-
Sebastian Saucedo
87'
-
Carlos Rotondi
28'
Toluca vs Cruz Azul - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result
Toluca
43.04%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
25.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Cruz Azul
31.64%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
55.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.82%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
48.18%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
29.67%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
70.33%
▼
(-0.06)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5
77.67%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
22.33%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
44.2%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
55.8%
▼
(-0.20)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5
71.33%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
28.67%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
35.51%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
64.49%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Toluca
43.04%
Draw
25.32%
Cruz Azul
31.64%
Toluca
1-0
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.04%
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.04%
Draw
1-1
@
11.99%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
Cruz Azul
0-1
@
8%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 31.64%
1-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 31.64%
Head to Head
-
Ramiro Funes Mori
18'
-
Gonzalo Carneiro
69'
-
Rodrigo Huescas
81'
-
Sebastian Jurado
90'+1'
-
Rafael Baca
90'+1'
-
Ignacio Rivero
90'+1'
-
Carlos Uriel
90'+2'
-
Jean Meneses
30'
-
Marcel Ruiz
43'
-
Valber Huerta
44'
-
Tiago Volpi
62'
-
Camilo Sanvezzo
90'+5'