Liga MX | Gameweek 1

Jan 14, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Pachuca

Rivero (17'), Rivero (18'), Lira (41'), Lira (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rondon (78', 78')
Cabral (11'), Cabral (11'), Pedraza (34'), Pedraza (34')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Puebla
Monday, November 13 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Pachuca

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Pachuca
Saturday, November 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Pachuca
43.03% ( 0.42)	25.37% ( -0.01)	31.6% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

-0.07)

48.38% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-0.07)

70.52% (

0.07)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

0.17)

22.42% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

0.26)

55.95% (

-0.25)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.3)

28.79% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.38)

64.64% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 43.03%

Pachuca 31.6%

Draw 25.36%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.6%