Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.