Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Nov 13, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Puebla

Ditta (45', 45')
Guerrero (67'), Guerrero (67'), Uriel (90+7'), Uriel (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Martinez (20', 20'), Silva (59', 59')
Angulo (28'), Angulo (28'), Herrera Rodriguez (84'), Herrera Rodriguez (84'), Sansores (90+9'), de los Santos (90+9'), Sansores (90+9'), de los Santos (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Puebla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, November 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Puebla 5-4 Club Leon
Saturday, November 4 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Puebla
52.05% ( 0.38)	23.94% ( 0.08)	24% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 54.12% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.82% (

-0.78)

47.18% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

-0.73)

69.41% (

0.72)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-0.16)

18.11% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-0.26)

49.05% (

0.25)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

-0.82)

33.91% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41% (

-0.9)

70.58% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 52.05%

Puebla 24%

Draw 23.93%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.05%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 24%