Liga MX Gameweek 15
Toluca
Nov 1, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Puebla
  • Maximiliano Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Araujo 31' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 76' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 76' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego de Buen 45'
  • yellowcard Diego de Buen 45'
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 78'
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 78'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 89'
  • yellowcard Carlos Baltazar 89'

Toluca vs Puebla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 6.00pm
Toluca 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Juan Dominguez

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2023 1.00am
Pachuca 1 - 1 Puebla
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Guillermo Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.56%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 55.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Puebla 23.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.84% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 34.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 44.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 55.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 25.49% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 74.51% ▼ (-0.07)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 87.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 12.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 61.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 38.17% ▼ (-0.05)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 72.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 37.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 62.57% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Toluca 55.56%
Draw 20.98%
Puebla 23.47%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 55.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.98%
Puebla
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 23.47%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 14
Puebla
Apr 8, 2023 2.05am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Toluca
  • Facundo Waller 75' goal
  • goal Edgar Lopez 8'
  • goal Tiago Volpi 15'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Toluca
Aug 3, 2022 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Puebla
  • Valber Huerta 24' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 56' yellowcard
  • Jordan Sierra 67' redcard
  • Andres Mosquera 83' goal
  • goal Omar Fernandez 17'
  • yellowcard Martin Barragan 32'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 38'
  • yellowcard Ivo Vazquez 39'
  • yellowcard Daniel Aguilar 51'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ferrareis 57'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Toluca
Apr 3, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Puebla
  • Kevin Castaneda 19' goal
  • Valber Huerta 45' goal
  • Haret Ortega 47' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan Sierra 78' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 81' yellowcard
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angel Robles 39'
  • goal Israel Reyes 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Martin Barragan 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Puebla
Nov 6, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Toluca
  • Christian Tabo 60' goal
  • Guillermo Martinez 62' yellowcard
  • Alberto Herrera Rodriguez 85' yellowcard
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 62'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Toluca
Mar 21, 2021 6.00pm
4
4
HT : 1 0
FT
Puebla
  • Haret Ortega 18' yellowcard
  • Michael Estrada 32' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 46' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 53' goal
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 77' goal
  • Michael Estrada 87' goal
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Gularte 30'
  • redcard Emanuel Gularte 51'
  • goal Santiago Ormeno 57'
  • goal Juan Segovia 60'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Larcamon 79'
  • goal Daniel Aguilar 86'
  • goal Daniel Alvarez 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Puebla
Aug 29, 2020 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Toluca
  • Santiago Ormeno 31' goal
  • Daniel Alvarez 40' goal
  • Daniel Alvarez 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 81' goal
  • Amaury Escoto 90' goal
  • goal William da Silva 20'
  • yellowcard Rubens Sambueza 35'
  • yellowcard William da Silva 59'

Form Data

Toluca 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Club Leon 1 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 3 - 1 Queretaro
Tigres 2 - 2 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 1 Guadalajara
Toluca 1 - 1 America
Pachuca 1 - 1 Puebla
Puebla 0 - 2 Guadalajara
Necaxa 1 - 2 Puebla
Puebla 1 - 1 Monterrey
Atlas 2 - 3 Puebla
Puebla 0 - 2 Pumas