Liga MX | Gameweek 12

Oct 9, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 2
Puebla

Mendez (55', 55')
Jurado (33'), Jurado (33'), Garnica (83'), Arce (88'), Arce (88'), Poggi (90+4'), Poggi (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Martinez (12', 12'), de Buen (36', 36')
Angulo (41'), Silva (41'), Silva (41'), Velasco (60'), Velasco (60')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Monterrey
Wednesday, October 4 at 2am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Puebla
34.25% ( -0.43)	25.9% ( -0.18)	39.85% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

0.71)

49.98% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

0.63)

71.96% (

-0.63)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.08)

27.89% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.49% (

0.1)

63.5% (

-0.1)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

0.65)

24.71% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.75% (

0.9)

59.25% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 34.25%

Puebla 39.85%

Draw 25.9%

Necaxa	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.85%