Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.