Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.