Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Robert Morales 20' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 70' goal
  • goal Agustin Urzi 18'
  • goal Sebastian Saucedo 64'
  • goal Amaury Escoto 77'
  • goal Aitor Garcia 90'+6'

Toluca vs Juarez - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 12.50am
Cruz Azul 0 - 2 Toluca
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Juan Dominguez

Juarez

All competitions
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 1.06am
Juarez 1 - 1 Tigres
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Aviles Hurtado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 61.56% (+0.50)
Draw 21.51% (-0.17)
Juarez 16.94% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.88% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.98% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 46.03% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 31.67% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 68.33% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 15.84% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 84.16% (-0.10)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 85.58% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 14.43% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 57.64% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 42.36% (-0.39)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5 59.46% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 40.54% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 22.86% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 77.15% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Toluca 61.55%
Draw 21.51%
Juarez 16.94%
Toluca
1-0 @ 11.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.96% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.07% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.39% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.42% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.51%
Juarez
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.94%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 16
Apr 23, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Tiago Volpi 45'+4' goal
  • goal Diego Chavez 69'
Liga MX
Oct 9, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 23' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 46' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 90'+2' goal
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mauro Lainez 35' yellowcard
  • Alan Medina 69' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 88' goal
  • Diego Rolan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 68'
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 89'
  • goal Jean Meneses 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Fernando Navarro 90'+6'
  • redcard Sebastian Saucedo 90'+8'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 20, 2022 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Castaneda 19' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 59' yellowcard
  • Haret Ortega 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Garcia 66'
  • goal Gabriel Fernandez 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jul 24, 2021 3.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
  • Blas Armoa 27' yellowcard
  • Martin Galvan 35' goal
  • goal Haret Ortega 6'
  • goal Rubens Sambueza 63'
  • yellowcard Jorge Alejandro Rodriguez Hernandez 83'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
May 1, 2021 3.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matias Garcia 8' yellowcard
  • Flavio Santos 45' yellowcard
  • Martin Galvan 60' goal
  • Marco Fabian 66' yellowcard
  • Pol Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ivan Rosel Bermont 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Carlos Rosel 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rubens Sambueza 34'