May 12, 2023 4.10am

4

1

HT : 3 1

FT

Sebastian Cordova 14'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 31'
Juan Vigon 45'+5'
Nicolas Lopez 72'

Leonardo Fernandez 8'

Tigres vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

W
L
L
W
W
D

Liga MX

W
L
W
D
L
L

Last game

May 8, 2023 4.10am

Tigres 1 - 0 Puebla

Toluca

All competitions

W
D
L
W
W
D

Liga MX

W
D
L
W
W
D

Last game

Apr 30, 2023 7.00pm

Toluca 3 - 0 Necaxa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result

Tigres 59.24% ▼ (-0.89)

Draw 21.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Toluca 19.14% ▲ (+0.87)

Both Teams to Score:

54.78% ▲ (+1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.05% ▲ (+1.32)

Under 2.5 42.95% ▼ (-1.32)

Over 3.5 34.65% ▲ (+1.29)

Under 3.5 65.35% ▼ (-1.29)

Over 4.5 18% ▲ (+0.95)

Under 4.5 81.99% ▼ (-0.95)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 85.85% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 0.5 14.14% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 1.5 58.19% ▲ (+0.31)

Under 1.5 41.8% ▼ (-0.31)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 63.8% ▲ (+1.73)

Under 0.5 36.2% ▼ (-1.73)

Over 1.5 27.01% ▲ (+1.72)

Under 1.5 72.98% ▼ (-1.72)

Score analysis

Tigres 59.24%

Draw 21.61%

Toluca 19.14%

Tigres

1-0 @ 10.01% ▼ (-0.53)

2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.46)

3-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.05)

3-0 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.27)

3-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.17)

4-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.04)

4-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.12)

4-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.10)

5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)

5-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 2.95%

Total : 59.24%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.06)

0-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.31)

2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.24)

3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.11)

Other @ 0.15%

Total : 21.61%

Toluca

0-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.06)

1-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.22)

0-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.10)

1-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.15)

2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.16)

Other @ 2.66%

Total : 19.14%

Head to Head

Apr 2, 2023 7.00pm

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nemesio DÃez

Igor Lichnovsky 27'
Carlos Gonzalez 45'+1'
Carlos Gonzalez 69'

Andre-Pierre Gignac 76'
Nicolas Lopez 90'

Sep 8, 2022 1.00am

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Sebastian Cordova 41'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 62'
Florian Thauvin 80'

Jean Meneses 68'

Apr 17, 2022 1.00am

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Juan Vigon 59'
Sebastian Cordova 67'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 71'
Guido Pizarro 86'

Jordan Sierra 75'

Aug 1, 2021 6.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Nemesio DÃez

Raul Lopez 33'
Alexis Canelo 83'
Braian Samudio 90'+6'
Miguel Barbieri 90'+10'

Guido Pizarro 27'
Guido Pizarro 60'
Juan Vigon 61'
Guido Pizarro 64'

Mar 3, 2021 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Carlos Salcedo 2'
Luis Quinones 7'
Guido Pizarro 80'

Claudio Baeza 40'
Alexis Canelo 55'

Nov 23, 2020 1.00am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo LeÃ³n

Andre-Pierre Gignac 35'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 38'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 39'
Guido Pizarro 41'
Hugo Ayala 54'
Hugo Ayala 71'
Carlos Salcedo 90'+1'

Diego Gonzalez 37'
Adrian Mora 51'
Hugo Ayala 52' (OG)
Jonatan Maidana 83'

Form Data

Tigres 1 - 0 Puebla

Club Leon 3 - 1 Tigres

Club Leon 3 - 0 Tigres

Tigres 2 - 1 Club Leon

Tigres 1 - 0 Puebla

Queretaro 0 - 0 Tigres

Toluca 3 - 0 Necaxa

Toluca 1 - 1 Juarez

Pumas 3 - 1 Toluca

Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca

Toluca 3 - 2 Tigres

Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca