Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla1 - 2Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juarez 0-2 Puebla
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Tigres
Sunday, April 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, April 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toluca in this match.
Result | ||
Puebla | Draw | Toluca |
30.79% ( -0.11) | 24.55% ( -0.04) | 44.66% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.89% ( 0.15) | 45.11% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.54% ( 0.14) | 67.46% ( -0.14) |
Puebla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( 0) | 27.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.73% ( 0) | 63.27% ( -0) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( 0.12) | 20.31% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( 0.2) | 52.68% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Puebla 30.79%
Toluca 44.66%
Draw 24.55%
Puebla | Draw | Toluca |
2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.66% |
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2022 2am
Toluca
1-1
Puebla
Fernandez (17')
Barragan (32'), Silva (38'), Vazquez (39'), Aguilar (51'), Ferrareis (57')
Barragan (32'), Silva (38'), Vazquez (39'), Aguilar (51'), Ferrareis (57')
Nov 6, 2021 1am
Puebla
1-0
Toluca
Tabo (60' pen.)
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')
Rodriguez (62')
Mar 21, 2021 6pm
Toluca
4-4
Puebla
Estrada (32', 87'), Canelo (53' pen.), Rigonato Rodrigues (77')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ormeno (57' pen.), Segovia (60'), Aguilar (86'), Alvarez (89')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Aug 29, 2020 1.30am
Puebla
4-1
Toluca
Ormeno (31'), Alvarez (40'), Gonzalez (81'), Escoto (90')
Alvarez (40')
Alvarez (40')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 10:48:38
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
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