Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 24, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
0 - 5
Toluca

FT(HT: 0-2)
Garcia (17', 36'), Ruiz (58'), Fernandez (81', 88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, February 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Toluca
Monday, February 20 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
49.99% (-0.145 -0.15)23.03% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)26.98% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.22% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (0.181 0.18)40.48% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (0.186 0.19)62.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.012 0.01)16.38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (0.024999999999999 0.02)46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.206 0.21)27.98% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (0.26300000000001 0.26)63.61% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 49.99%
    Toluca 26.98%
    Draw 23.02%
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.98%

How you voted: Santos Laguna vs Toluca

Santos Laguna
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Toluca
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2022 1.06am
Santos Laguna
1-2
Toluca
Gorriaran (90+7')
Meneses (47'), Mosquera (50')
Rodriguez (55')
Oct 14, 2022 1.06am
Toluca
4-3
Santos Laguna
Gonzalez (4'), Sanvezzo (6', 73'), Volpi (90+2' pen.)
Gorriaran (30' pen.), Preciado (38'), Aguirre (49')
Jul 23, 2022 11pm
Toluca
2-1
Santos Laguna
Fernandez (11' pen.), Sierra (25')
Ruiz (45'), Angulo (86')
Rodriguez (75')
Rodriguez (31'), Doria (88'), (90+7')
Jan 16, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Santos Laguna
Alvarez (41'), Fernandez (56'), Rigonato Rodrigues (80')
Rodriguez (21'), Ortega (37'), Garcia (76'), Fernandez (79')
Preciado (22')
Doria (84')
Oct 25, 2021 1.06am
Santos Laguna
2-2
Toluca
Da Cruz (33'), Aguirre (90+6')
Da Cruz (44'), Preciado (49')
Chavez (56'), Canelo (76')
Gutierrez (26'), Rigonato Rodrigues (34'), Vanegas (47'), Sartiaguin (90+4')