Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.