Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
1 - 0
Toluca

Torres (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, February 26 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawToluca
34.2% (-0.357 -0.36)25.55% (0.179 0.18)40.24% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.686 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (-0.855 -0.86)48.46% (0.853 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (-0.786 -0.79)70.59% (0.782 0.78)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.622 -0.62)27.18% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.82 -0.82)62.59% (0.817 0.82)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.291 -0.29)23.83% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.418 -0.42)58% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 34.2%
    Toluca 40.24%
    Draw 25.55%
QueretaroDrawToluca
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.2%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.246 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.24%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Nahuelpan (63')
Mendoza (26')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Perg (10')
Mendoza (48'), Torres (73'), Aguerre (87'), Cabrera (90+3')
Hernandez (64')
Fernandez (90+5')
Samudio (45+4')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
Sep 4, 2020 1am
Queretaro
4-1
Toluca
Madrigal (13'), Silveira (18' pen.), Garcia (52' og.), Sepulveda (69')
Rea (81')
Guemez (77')
Sauro (18'), Sartiaguin (58'), Cisneros (87')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!