Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 26, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Jean Meneses 12' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 34' goal

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2023 2.05am
Santos Laguna 0 - 5 Toluca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Carlos Gonzalez

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 11.00pm
Atletico San Luis 1 - 1 Santos Laguna
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Leo Bonatini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 57.97% (+0.11)
Draw 21.91% (-0.04)
Atletico San Luis 20.12% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.46% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.15% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.84% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.75% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 65.25% (-0.03)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 85.49% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 14.51% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 57.48% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 42.52% (-0.08)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5 64.87% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 35.12% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 28.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 71.87% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Toluca 57.97%
Draw 21.91%
Atletico San Luis 20.12%
Toluca
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.11% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 57.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.91%
Atletico San Luis
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 20.12%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 10
Aug 21, 2022 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jhon Murillo 45'+3' goal
  • Rodrigo Gonzalez 61' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Sierra 65'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 12, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ramon Juarez 3' yellowcard
  • Facundo Waller 45'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 4'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 13'
  • redcard Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 45'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Sep 26, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ian Gonzalez 45' goal
  • Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jorge Torres 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Chavez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Lozano 20'
  • goal German Berterame 24'
  • goal German Berterame 39'
  • yellowcard Facundo Waller 90'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Mar 6, 2021 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Chavez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Barbieri 35'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 59'
  • yellowcard Kevin Castaneda 63'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Aug 2, 2020 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Michael Estrada 7' goal
  • Javier Guemez 17' yellowcard
  • Alan Medina 24' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 28' goal
  • Gaston Sauro 48' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 49' goal
  • Jonatan Maidana 82' yellowcard
  • goal German Berterame 12'
  • yellowcard Jorge Sanchez 41'
  • goal Nicolas Ibanez 59'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Ibanez 75'
  • yellowcard Camilo Mayada 89'
  • yellowcard German Berterame 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Pineda 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
May 1, 2020 3.15am