Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Mar 13, 2023 at 1.05am UK

Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
3 - 2
Tijuana

Correa (45', 52'), Doria (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Canelo (45+4'), Rodriguez (60')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Club Tijuana

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Atlas
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Club Tijuana
61.03% ( 0.21)	21.2% ( -0.17)	17.76% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73% (

0.72)

43.27% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33% (

0.7)

65.67% (

-0.7)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

0.3)

13.7% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.07% (

0.58)

40.93% (

-0.58)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.09% (

0.39)

37.91% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.32% (

0.37)

74.68% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 61.03%

Club Tijuana 17.76%

Draw 21.2%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Club Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 61.03%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.2%	0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.76%