Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.