Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.