Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 5, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 0
Santos Laguna

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (17'), Beltran (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Santos Laguna

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Puebla
Monday, February 27 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawSantos Laguna
53.07% (0.347 0.35)24.22% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)22.7% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 51.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.122 -0.12)49.63% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (-0.11 -0.11)71.65% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.087000000000003 0.09)18.65% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.149 0.15)49.96% (-0.153 -0.15)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-0.353 -0.35)36.44% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.357 -0.36)73.23% (0.35199999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 53.07%
    Santos Laguna 22.7%
    Draw 24.22%
CD GuadalajaraDrawSantos Laguna
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.1 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.7%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 1.05am
Santos Laguna
1-1
Guadalajara
Aguirre (70')
Pizzichillo (43'), Rodriguez (45'), Gorriaran (90+6')
Gonzalez (47')
Olivas (7'), Calderon (44'), Orozco (61'), Briseno (79'), Brizuela (84'), Sepulveda (89'), Ponce (90+2')
Briseno (83')
Mar 6, 2022 3am
Guadalajara
1-0
Santos Laguna
Juan Macias (61')
Cisneros (73'), Huerta (84'), Brizuela (89')

Torres (32'), Cervantes (86')
Doria (90+8')
Aug 16, 2021 1.06am
Santos Laguna
0-0
Guadalajara

Isijara (19')

Olivas (40'), Mayorga (63'), Briseno (85')
Apr 4, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
1-1
Santos Laguna
Angulo (75')
Mayorga (25'), Molina (51')
Ocejo (32')
Almada (23'), Ibarguen (60')
Aug 3, 2020 1.06am
Santos Laguna
2-0
Guadalajara

Torres (40'), Valdes (44'), Doria (82')
Torres (67')

Sepulveda (22'), Molina (33'), Juan Vazquez (45+2')