Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 16, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
2 - 1
Tijuana

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (39' pen., 90' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lertora (26')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 12 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub Tijuana
58.57% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)24.37% (0.324 0.32)17.06% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 42.89% (-1.329 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (-1.512 -1.51)56.89% (1.513 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (-1.223 -1.22)77.81% (1.224 1.22)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.59400000000001 -0.59)19.31% (0.594 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.983 -0.98)51.06% (0.984 0.98)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.15% (-1.244 -1.24)46.85% (1.245 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.63% (-0.962 -0.96)82.37% (0.962 0.96)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 58.56%
    Club Tijuana 17.06%
    Draw 24.37%
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 14.87% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 12.23% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.04% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.158 0.16)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.06%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 3.05am
Tijuana
1-2
Guadalajara
Di Santo (58')
Alvarado (47'), Olivas (67')
Beltran (60')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Angulo (38'), Perez (54')
Calderon (45+2'), Orozco (45+4')
Mier (12' og.)
Misael Dominguez Gonzalez (1'), Ibarra (45+2'), Barbona (60'), Manotas (67'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
0-0
Guadalajara

Guzman (4')

Sepulveda (50'), Zaldivar (57'), Briseno (71')
Apr 18, 2021 1am
Guadalajara
2-0
Tijuana
Vega (49'), Angulo (79')

Jara (55'), Pavez (64')
Jara (83')
Oct 5, 2020 3.06am
Tijuana
0-0
Guadalajara

Castillo (38')