Liga MX Gameweek 11
Toluca
Mar 12, 2023 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Mazatlan
  • Carlos Gonzalez 25' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 48' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 45'+5' goal
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 83' goal
  • goal Nicolas Benedetti 38'

Toluca vs Mazatlan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2023 1.05am
Queretaro 1 - 0 Toluca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Carlos Gonzalez

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 1.05am
Mazatlan 3 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nicolas Benedetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 64.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 64.62% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 19.93% ▲ (+0.06)
Mazatlan 15.45% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.82% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.18% ▲ (+0.08)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 87.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 12.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 62.14% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 37.85% ▲ (+0.14)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5 60.14% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 39.85% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 76.51% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Toluca 64.61%
Draw 19.93%
Mazatlan 15.45%
Toluca
2-0 @ 10.75% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 64.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 19.93%
Mazatlan
0-1 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.45%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 15
Mazatlan
Sep 17, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Toluca
  • Bryan Colula 23' goal
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 55'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
Jan 22, 2022 3.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Toluca
  • Eduard Bello 29' goal
  • Ivan Moreno 56' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Sosa 73' redcard
  • Nestor Vidrio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 3'
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 17'
  • goal Alexis Canelo 69'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Aug 17, 2021 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Mazatlan
  • Ian Gonzalez 9' goal
  • Rubens Sambueza 38' goal
  • Miguel Barbieri 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 32'
  • goal Alfonso Emilio Sanchez Castillo 44'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Freitas 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Diaz 90'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Feb 7, 2021 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Mazatlan
  • Claudio Baeza 12' yellowcard
  • Alexis Canelo 19' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 30' goal
  • Rubens Sambueza 35' goal
  • Alexis Canelo 87' goal
  • yellowcard Camilo Sanvezzo 12'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Diaz 20'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vargas 29'
  • yellowcard Israel Jimenez 62'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 67'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
Aug 8, 2020 3.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Toluca
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 14' goal
  • Fernando Aristeguieta 29' goal
  • Jose Ortiz 40' redcard
  • goal Michael Estrada 27'
  • yellowcard Raul Lopez 88'
  • yellowcard Adrian Mora 88'

Form Data

Queretaro 1 - 0 Toluca
Toluca 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis
Santos Laguna 0 - 5 Toluca
Pachuca 1 - 2 Toluca
Toluca 3 - 1 Cruz Azul
Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca
Mazatlan 3 - 1 Cruz Azul
Mazatlan 1 - 2 Pumas
Queretaro 1 - 1 Mazatlan
Mazatlan 2 - 3 Pachuca
Puebla 3 - 1 Mazatlan
Mazatlan 2 - 3 Juarez