Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 4, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
3 - 1
Cruz Azul

Vidrio (45+3'), Alanis (45+3'), Meraz (51'), Almada (57')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Uriel (17')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Pumas
Saturday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawCruz Azul
29.36% (-0.212 -0.21)26.64% (0.558 0.56)43.99% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-1.812 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-2.287 -2.29)54.49% (2.286 2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-1.938 -1.94)75.85% (1.937 1.94)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-1.347 -1.35)33.49% (1.347 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (-1.503 -1.5)70.12% (1.502 1.5)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-1.173 -1.17)24.61% (1.173 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (-1.673 -1.67)59.12% (1.673 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 29.36%
    Cruz Azul 43.99%
    Draw 26.64%
MazatlanDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.466 0.47)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 29.36%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.708 0.71)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.62 0.62)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.172 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 10pm
Cruz Azul
2-0
Mazatlan
Carneiro (21'), Romero (45+7' pen.)

Martin Sandoval (36')
Apr 9, 2022 3am
Mazatlan
1-1
Cruz Azul
Meraz (38')
Intriago (26'), Meraz (75'), Fabian (82')
Romero (46')
Baca (14'), Otero (41'), Morales (50'), Martinez (61'), Tabo (82')
Jul 27, 2021 2am
Cruz Azul
0-2
Mazatlan

Gimenez (36')
Diaz (45'), Colula (66')
Freitas (62'), Rubio (72')
Mar 4, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
1-0
Mazatlan
Alvarado (67')
Yotun (37')

Ortiz (90+3')
Sandoval (23')
Sep 19, 2020 3.30am
Mazatlan
2-3
Cruz Azul
Sanvezzo (1'), Osuna (90+5' pen.)
Sansores (33'), Jara (49'), Ortiz (88'), Sanvezzo (90+6')
Gimenez (15'), Rodriguez (50' pen., 78')
Aldrete (75')
rhs 2.0


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