Liga MX | Gameweek 9
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
1 - 2
Pumas

Benedetti (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salvio (50'), Dinenno (75')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, February 19 at 11pm in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 19 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawPumas
36.35% (-0.219 -0.22)25.79% (0.245 0.25)37.86% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.857 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (-1.096 -1.1)49.24% (1.097 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (-0.995 -1)71.29% (0.997 1)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)26.28% (0.635 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (-0.856 -0.86)61.4% (0.859 0.86)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)25.44% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.713 -0.71)60.26% (0.714 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 36.35%
    Pumas 37.86%
    Draw 25.79%
MazatlanDrawPumas
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.295 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.272 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.86%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2022 3.05am
Pumas
1-1
Mazatlan
Freire (89')
Freire (26'), Rodriguez (40')
Bello (75')
Intriago (64')
Mar 26, 2022 11pm
Pumas
1-1
Mazatlan
Ruvalcaba (73')
Diogo (90+5')
Ortiz (80' og.)
Fabian (49')
Sep 19, 2021 3am
Mazatlan
2-2
Pumas
Sanvezzo (22' pen.), Amador (90')
Vikonis (43'), Jared Moreno Fuguemann (57')
Dinenno (56'), Rogerio (85')
Talavera (20'), Velarde (21')
Jan 17, 2021 6pm
Pumas
3-0
Mazatlan
Waller (11'), Gutierrez (61'), Montejano (71')
Aug 16, 2020 3am
Mazatlan
0-0
Pumas

Velarde (6'), Sansores (87')

Lopez (50'), Iturbe (59'), Alvarez (75'), Dinenno (90+1')