Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 5, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Pumas
2 - 4
Puebla

Del Prete (11'), Salvio (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fernandez (31'), Robles (33', 85'), Mancuello (90')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Pumas
Saturday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Puebla
Monday, February 27 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawPuebla
59.26% (-0.308 -0.31)22.45% (0.126 0.13)18.29% (0.185 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (-0.235 -0.23)47.85% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (-0.217 -0.22)70.03% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)15.78% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (-0.34 -0.34)44.92% (0.344 0.34)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (0.074999999999996 0.07)40.01% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (0.068999999999999 0.07)76.66% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 59.25%
    Puebla 18.29%
    Draw 22.44%
PumasDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.29%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3.05am
Puebla
2-1
Pumas
Cortizo (6'), Freire (29' og.)
Salvio (83')
Gutierrez (8')
Apr 9, 2022 1am
Puebla
2-2
Pumas
Parra (12' pen.), Araujo (42')
de Buen (30'), Araujo (69'), Ferrareis (82'), Martinez (88')
Rogerio (45+1'), Ruvalcaba (85')
Ortiz (53'), Lopez (90+2')
Aug 22, 2021 6pm
Pumas
2-0
Puebla
Corozo (73'), Dinenno (80' pen.)
Mozo (30'), Talavera (39')

Reyes (79')
Apr 24, 2021 1.30am
Puebla
0-0
Pumas

Lira (28'), Mozo (35'), Waller (90+2')
Sep 5, 2020 11pm
Pumas
4-1
Puebla
Alvarez (32'), Gonzalez Espinola (36' pen.), Vasquez (59'), Dinenno (63')
Iturbe (48'), Freire (56'), Mayorga (61')
Reyes Chavez (10')
Arreola (58'), Gularte (90')